Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 2.2 points from 2.5% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 0.3%.
SpaceX ranks fifth of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 45.5%; Apple is at 45%.
$63.96 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.69K since listing. The order book holds $35.05K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 142 trades, $2.09 bought Yes and $1.87K bought No.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 2.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.6K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.07K |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 1.03K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 680 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 298.52 |
| poluser2026 | Yes | 230.92 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 220.89 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 166.71 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 160 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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