Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.31K | $0.032 | $213.67 | +$106.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 199.99 |
| $0.189 |
| $43.1 |
| +$5.3 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 5.7K | $0.007 | $31.34 | -$6.78 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 65 | $0.610 | $30.23 | -$9.43 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $29 | +$15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.9K | $0.007 | $26.1 | +$5.8 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 40.26 | $0.350 | $19.73 | +$5.64 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.060 | $16.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.095 | $15 | -$4 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 428.01 | $0.010 | $14.98 | +$10.7 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.06K | $0.002 | $13.78 | +$7.66 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 160.05 | $0.040 | $13.6 | +$7.2 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 4.26K | $0.002 | $12.77 | +$6.11 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.002 | $11.93 | +$9.43 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.030 | $10.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.009 | $10.5 | -$2.1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 1.57K | $0.009 | $10.21 | -$3.43 |
 Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 182.22 | $0.011 | $10.2 | +$8.14 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 120 | $0.099 | $8.58 | -$3.3 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours? | Yes | 109.59 | $0.040 | $8.22 | +$3.84 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.005 | $8 | -$0.8 |
 Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 15.29K | $0.001 | $7.64 | -$7.11 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 400 | $0.017 | $7.6 | +$0.8 |
 Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Yes | 210 | $0.069 | $7.56 | -$6.86 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.185 | $7.5 | -$11 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.240 |
| $1.2 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 571.32 | $0.004 | $2.29 | 3d ago |
 Will Mayuli Martínez Simón win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.003 | $0.1 | 3d ago |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 725.19 | $0.003 | $2.18 | 3d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 402.44 | $0.003 | $1.21 | 3d ago |
 Will Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.003 | $0.18 | 3d ago |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 452.46 | $0.014 | $6.33 | 3d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.015 | $2.58 | 3d ago |
| Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 117.63 | $0.003 | $0.35 | 3d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 3d ago |
 Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 32.13 | $0.005 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 54.16 | $0.003 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Rubén Guajardo Barrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | buy | 50.2 | $0.003 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 424.17 | $0.012 | $5.09 | 4d ago |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.001 | $1.11 | 4d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 530.14 | $0.033 | $17.49 | 4d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 284.18 | $0.020 | $5.68 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.180 | $0.36 | 5d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 749.69 | $0.003 | $2.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 370.79 | $0.012 | $4.45 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.34 | $0.015 | $2.23 | 11d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 67.24 | $0.001 | $0.07 | 11d ago |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.24 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 11d ago |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 491 | $0.007 | $3.44 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 11d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | 11d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 12d ago |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.001 | $3.46 | 14d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 125.56 | $0.126 | $15.77 | 16d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 52.43 | $0.290 | $15.2 | 17d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 17d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 588.14 | $0.050 | $29.41 | 17d ago |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.002 | $1.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.016 | $0.16 | 18d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 11.73 | $0.028 | $0.33 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 349.99 | $0.080 | $28 | 20d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 20d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 424 | $0.001 | $0.42 | 22d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.42K | $0.001 | $3.42 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.022 | $0 | 24d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 191.78 | $0.022 | $4.22 | 24d ago |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.002 | $2.19 | 26d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.070 | $0.54 | 26d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.62 | 27d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.122 | $22.12 | 27d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.001 | $0.17 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.610 | $39.65 | 27d ago |