Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 7.5 points from 23% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 50.5%. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 75% on 11 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?”.
$1.2K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $350.02K since listing. The order book holds $34.92K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Gorgeous-Tonic with 37.4K shares; the largest No position is WordleAddict with 35.7K. Ten wallets hold 60.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 23.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gorgeous-Tonic | Yes | 37.41K |
| WordleAddict | No | 35.68K |
| AiBird | Yes | 18.99K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-announces-another-millennium-prize-solution-by
| Parz1vaI |
| No |
| 17.08K |
| tourists | No | 11.29K |
| WorkingIsBad | No | 7.79K |
| dromedaryy | Yes | 5.22K |
| rewardbots | Yes | 5.12K |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 4.95K |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 4.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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