Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.06K | $0.107 | $4.38K | +$612.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.077 | $112.82 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.38K |
| $0.255 |
| $2.69K |
| +$808.91 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 4.29K | $0.367 | $2.16K | +$592.33 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 2.24K | $0.591 | $1.84K | +$522.76 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.86K | $0.221 | $1.16K | +$80.94 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 1.06K | $0.887 | $993.22 | +$51.92 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 642.69 | $0.809 | $555.93 | +$36.12 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 2.53K | $0.108 | $480.64 | +$207.05 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 512.87 | $0.594 | $453.89 | +$149.33 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.410 | $405 | -$5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 970.87 | $0.235 | $354.37 | +$125.68 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.110 | $324.21 | +$202.71 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 595.1 | $0.526 | $282.67 | -$30.57 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 883.99 | $0.345 | $278.46 | -$26.24 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 976.26 | $0.173 | $244.07 | +$74.85 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 633.63 | $0.262 | $243.95 | +$77.91 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.211 | $187.53 | -$188.77 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 805.37 | $0.226 | $181.21 | -$0.78 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.077 | $172.56 | +$59.73 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | No | 186.26 | $0.737 | $166.7 | +$29.44 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 418.42 | $0.217 | $152.72 | +$61.85 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 123.28 | $0.660 | $104.17 | +$22.83 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5.35K | $0.037 | $101.7 | -$95.09 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 263.62 | $0.584 | $93.59 | -$60.39 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.13K | $0.241 | $81.96 | -$432.27 |
| buy |
| 819.69 |
| $0.029 |
| $24.11 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 636.25 | $0.283 | $180.15 | 5h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.410 | $410 | 5h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.110 | $286.12 | 15h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | 15h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | 15h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 573.94 | $0.874 | $501.83 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 504.34 | $0.423 | $213.2 | 20h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.870 | $1.78K | 21h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 82.09 | $0.570 | $46.79 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 500 | $0.417 | $208.43 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 317 | $0.363 | $115.12 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 929.89 | $0.360 | $334.76 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 80 | $0.940 | $75.2 | 23h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 642.69 | $0.809 | $519.8 | 23h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 440.12 | $0.115 | $50.59 | 23h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 23h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 911.85 | $0.801 | $729.95 | 23h ago |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.052 | $51.78 | 23h ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5.35K | $0.020 | $107.06 | 23h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 434.26 | $0.240 | $104.22 | 23h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.04K | $0.267 | $813.3 | 23h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.160 | $183.12 | 23h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.160 | $469.33 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.110 | $330 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.110 | $330 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 912.35 | $0.753 | $686.76 | 23h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 519.43 | $0.945 | $490.78 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 1d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 564.84 | $0.274 | $154.81 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 450.15 | $0.300 | $135.15 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 124.24 | $0.790 | $98.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 340.81 | $0.065 | $22.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 365.61 | $0.048 | $17.53 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 150 | $0.487 | $73 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.885 | $1.03K | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 486 | $0.497 | $241.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.120 | $240 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.119 | $119.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No | buy | 805.37 | $0.226 | $181.99 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.328 | $332.7 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.111 | $120.67 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 575.01 | $0.380 | $218.5 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.278 | $324.99 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 76.09 | $0.570 | $43.37 | 1d ago |