Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 84.53K | $0.896 | $83.09K | +$7.39K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.82K | $0.950 | $8.38K | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 49.81K |
| $0.919 |
| $46.08K |
| +$308.24 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 40K | $0.880 | $35.4K | +$200 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 28.36K | $0.876 | $28.34K | +$3.49K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.68K | $0.540 | $12.87K | -$2.07K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 11.58K | $0.962 | $11.45K | +$306.98 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.840 | $9.35K | +$950 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.24K | $0.706 | $8.55K | +$2.02K |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8.02K | $0.968 | $7.87K | +$100.62 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 7.55K | $0.700 | $6K | +$717.35 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.810 | $5.95K | -$2.15K |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 4.72K | $0.890 | $4.49K | +$280.81 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 4.11K | $0.891 | $3.89K | +$220.03 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 3.59K | $0.879 | $3.48K | +$323.87 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 3.67K | $0.877 | $3.42K | +$193.34 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 3.46K | $0.808 | $1.99K | -$806.68 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.850 | $1.96K | +$216.23 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 2.14K | $0.850 | $1.89K | +$74.95 |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? | No | 1.58K | $0.895 | $1.55K | +$136.34 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.26K | $0.870 | $1.21K | +$107.38 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 1.24K | $0.755 | $1.06K | +$129.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 671.35 | $0.820 | $574 | +$23.5 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 442.89 | $0.903 | $428.05 | +$28.18 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 895.6 | $0.596 | $210.47 | -$323.58 |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 183.34 | $0.677 | $169.59 | +$45.44 |
| sell |
| 6.48K |
| $0.470 |
| $3.05K |
| 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.96K | $0.500 | $4.48K | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.83K | $0.480 | $1.36K | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.011 | $13.61 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.99K | $0.974 | $3.88K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.22K | $0.970 | $5.07K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.979 | $513.98 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.979 | $1.28K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.985 | $1.01K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02K | $0.970 | $5.84K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.68K | $0.970 | $7.45K | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.570 | $890.92 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.92K | $0.570 | $5.08K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.945 | $1.98K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 171.68 | $0.950 | $163.1 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.870 | $1.82K | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 6d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 636.19 | $0.993 | $631.47 | 6d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.994 | $2.33K | 6d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.967 | $386.8 | 6d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.8 | $0.922 | $141.85 | 6d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 8d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 8d ago |
| Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 281.78 | $0.920 | $259.24 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 282.18 | $0.590 | $166.49 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.11K | $0.788 | $4.82K | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 458.51 | $0.910 | $417.24 | 10d ago |
 Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 11.26K | $0.999 | $11.25K | 13d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 5.6K | $0.999 | $5.59K | 13d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 10.71K | $0.999 | $10.7K | 13d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.957 | $2.87K | 13d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 102.4K | $0.995 | $101.88K | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 81.4K | $0.994 | $80.91K | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.994 | $994 | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 838.51 | $0.996 | $834.77 | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 61.81 | $0.929 | $57.42 | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 200.76 | $0.927 | $186.07 | 13d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?No | buy | 37.66K | $0.998 | $37.56K | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Yes | buy | 15.4K | $0.998 | $15.38K | 13d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.994 | $2.4K | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 1.54K | $0.900 | $1.39K | 13d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | 14d ago |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.87K | $0.963 | $1.8K | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.930 | $983.02 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 3.05K | $0.880 | $2.68K | 14d ago |