Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 19 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 31 Jan 2026.
Across the 253 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 3.4%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 43% on 4 Mar 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?”.
$62.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.19K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.66K bought Yes and $14.71K bought No; the largest was a $4.21K buy of No at 89.1¢.
The largest Yes position is 6idontknow123451334 with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is tourists with 4.7K. Ten wallets hold 69.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 253 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tourists | No | 4.72K |
| traboukos | No | 1.77K |
| 6idontknow123451334 | Yes | 1.47K |
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| ooops | Yes | 640 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 500 |
| 123pocky | No | 500 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 488.73 |
| Perypery | Yes | 469.36 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 402.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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