Analytics
Contentious-Dinnerdate has made $103.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 7.48K | $0.825 | $6.44K | +$269.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 19:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 08:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 08:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 19:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $83.52K and losing ones cost $14.07K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.57K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.92K on “Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 1,224 markets. Its open positions are worth $68.98K across 129 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 13.44K |
| $0.345 |
| $4.77K |
| +$130.12 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 7.45K | $0.493 | $4.36K | +$685.19 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.11K | $0.738 | $4.16K | +$393.81 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 11.11K | $0.190 | $2.75K | +$640.53 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.312 | $2.66K | +$1.82K |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 20.96K | $0.131 | $2.31K | -$430.65 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31? | No | 2.36K | $0.975 | $2.29K | -$5.36 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.62K | $0.692 | $2.11K | +$296.08 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.69K | $0.724 | $1.95K | +$1.55 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19.53K | $0.137 | $1.67K | -$1.01K |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.99K | $0.779 | $1.64K | +$91.62 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.794 | $1.57K | +$243.65 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.66K | $0.067 | $1.46K | +$420.72 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.64K | $0.663 | $1.44K | +$355.47 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.75K | $0.646 | $1.44K | -$332.78 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.66K | $0.755 | $1.34K | +$82.82 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.333 | $1.19K | +$373.91 |
 Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.362 | $1.05K | +$421.4 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.820 | $990.34 | +$6 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.38K | $0.295 | $900.02 | +$196.49 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 6.87K | $0.287 | $893.09 | -$1.08K |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10.01K | $0.234 | $850.61 | -$1.49K |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.14K | $0.104 | $771.17 | +$235.76 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? | No | 751.37 | $0.690 | $683.75 | +$165.3 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
