Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 8.78K | $0.400 | $1.8K | -$1.72K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 927.49 |
| $0.506 |
| $579.68 |
| +$110.3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? | Yes | 332.53 | $0.708 | $325.88 | +$90.33 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? | No | 378.3 | $0.499 | $285.62 | +$96.96 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.223 | $240.94 | -$87.11 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 584.2 | $0.125 | $105.16 | +$31.92 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? | Yes | 15.2 | $0.424 | $14.91 | +$8.46 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | No | 41.84 | $0.143 | $11.8 | +$5.81 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.770 | $7.65 | -$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | Yes | 74.88 | $0.310 | $5.62 | -$17.6 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| sell |
| 444.55 |
| $0.140 |
| $62.24 |
| 2d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 698.03 | $0.237 | $165.3 | 2d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.260 | $31.98 | 4d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.261 | $14.35 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.267 | $18.7 | 5d ago |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.050 | $58.4 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.181 | $27.13 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.070 | $81.76 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.554 | $105.31 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.050 | $64.25 | 5d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 26.85 | $0.145 | $3.89 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.560 | $609.08 | 5d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 376.8 | $0.499 | $188 | 6d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.140 | $2.1 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 858.39 | $0.520 | $446.36 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.520 | $78 | 6d ago |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 156.21 | $0.100 | $15.58 | 7d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 708.87 | $0.125 | $88.87 | 7d ago |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 379.67 | $0.080 | $30.29 | 7d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 927.49 | $0.506 | $469.39 | 8d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.09 | $0.120 | $11.89 | 9d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.27 | $0.595 | $172.75 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 159.76 | $0.912 | $145.67 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.594 | $178.05 | 9d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.584 | $29.2 | 10d ago |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | buy | 964.13 | $0.251 | $241.76 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 643.99 | $0.401 | $258.54 | 12d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.176 | $175.86 | 12d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 140 | $0.710 | $99.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 643.99 | $0.409 | $263.39 | 13d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 95.77 | $0.740 | $70.87 | 14d ago |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | 14d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.140 | $223.72 | 16d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.130 | $214.72 | 16d ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.120 | $182.62 | 16d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 562.33 | $0.309 | $173.94 | 16d ago |
 Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 190.45 | $0.078 | $14.82 | 17d ago |
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 190.45 | $0.018 | $3.43 | 19d ago |
 Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 78.1 | $0.520 | $40.59 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?Yes | buy | 37.96 | $0.907 | $34.44 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?Yes | buy | 26.25 | $0.848 | $22.25 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?Yes | buy | 116.54 | $0.705 | $82.11 | 19d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.330 | $198 | 23d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.340 | $204 | 24d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 259.44 | $0.485 | $125.78 | 24d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 303 | $0.350 | $106.05 | 24d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 25d ago |