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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.3K | $0.896 | $4.26K | +$407.32 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.9K | $0.690 | $1.31K | Jul 18, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.87K |
| $0.725 |
| $3.56K |
| +$753.64 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | $0.445 | $2.1K | +$320 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.855 | $1.89K | +$180 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4K | $0.700 | $1.86K | -$939.99 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.21K | $0.813 | $1.21K | +$224.23 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.870 | $1.16K | -$142.5 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.975 | $999.5 | +$24.5 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 999.98 | $0.902 | $969.48 | +$67.5 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $925 | +$155 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.772 | $757.6 | +$140 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.471 | $727.7 | +$6.02 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 969.66 | $0.614 | $664.22 | +$69.03 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.720 | $541.5 | +$109.5 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $482.25 | +$32.25 |
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.740 | $475 | +$105 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.580 | $327.5 | +$37.5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.740 | $315 | -$55 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.640 | $270 | -$50 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 226.29 | $0.660 | $205.93 | +$56.57 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 96.01 | $0.780 | $82.38 | +$7.49 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 21.13 | $0.760 | $18.7 | +$2.64 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 0.2 | $0.910 | $0.19 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 22.48 |
| $0.880 |
| $19.78 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 93.57 | $0.962 | $90.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 93.57 | $0.962 | $90.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 130.57 | $0.961 | $125.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 406.22 | $0.850 | $345.29 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 173.09 | $0.120 | $20.77 | May 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 449.13 | $0.016 | $7.19 | May 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 632 | $0.043 | $27.18 | May 23, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 369.66 | $0.620 | $229.19 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 497 | $0.940 | $467.18 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 198.97 | $0.976 | $194.19 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 599.99 | $0.300 | $180 | May 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 956.99 | $0.006 | $5.84 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 168 | $0.120 | $20.16 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 215.34 | $0.970 | $208.98 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 215.35 | $0.929 | $200 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 11.86 | $0.140 | $1.66 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 134.13 | $0.055 | $7.38 | May 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 232.46 | $0.490 | $113.91 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.720 | $32.4 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 497 | $0.961 | $477.55 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.951 | $77.03 | May 11, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.360 | $360 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?No | sell | 44.16 | $0.087 | $3.84 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?No | sell | 20 | $0.088 | $1.76 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.092 | $0.92 | May 10, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.890 | $1.63K | May 10, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 230.29 | $0.880 | $202.66 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.390 | $780 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.300 | $34.8 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 620.15 | $0.405 | $251.33 | May 8, 2026 |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.97 | $0.680 | $11.54 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.048 | $0.24 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 709.35 | $0.740 | $524.92 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 465 | $0.964 | $448.26 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.880 | $1.14K | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.720 | $866.6 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.710 | $2.13K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.37 | $0.155 | $88.54 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.96 | $0.153 | $19.58 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.87 | $0.320 | $3.8 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | May 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?No | buy | 42.6 | $0.894 | $38.08 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?No | buy | 21.56 | $0.893 | $19.25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.24 | $0.971 | $259.49 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.869 | $33.89 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 371.54 | $0.870 | $323.24 | May 6, 2026 |