Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 14 points from 26% when the market opened on 31 Jan 2026.
The high was 52.5% on 26 Jul 2026 and the low 8.5% on 13 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 16%; a month ago, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 52.5% on 26 Jul 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?”.
$16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $67.76K since listing. The order book holds $2.4K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.01K bought Yes and $9.17K bought No; the largest was a $1.82K buy of No at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Contentious-Dinnerdate with 4.3K shares; the largest No position is tourists with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 71.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 1:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 228 points · 31 Jan 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 4.26K |
| tourists | No | 2.14K |
| Unlined-Upgrade | No | 1.07K |
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026
| ooops | Yes | 899.98 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 756.38 |
| Crypton993513 | No | 640 |
| spamabunch | No | 575.43 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 500 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 482.01 |
| pigment | No | 446.37 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
