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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.744 | $1.01K | +$206.72 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 293.9 | $0.830 | $243.94 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 891.19 |
| $0.898 |
| $858.21 |
| +$58.21 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 933.2 | $0.839 | $657.91 | -$124.61 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 479.02 | $0.780 | $409.56 | +$35.93 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 432.48 | $0.830 | $408.7 | +$49.74 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 446.37 | $0.916 | $395.04 | -$13.67 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 365.85 | $0.820 | $334.76 | +$34.76 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 347.35 | $0.908 | $301.85 | -$13.66 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 293.9 | $0.830 | $242.47 | -$1.47 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 149.28 | $0.659 | $56.35 | -$42.04 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.019 | $24.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 129.57 | $0.386 | $4.53 | -$45.47 |
| sell |
| 290.91 |
| $0.850 |
| $247.27 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 347.35 | $0.908 | $315.51 | 9d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 137.79 | $0.359 | $49.47 | 9d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 319.33 | $0.848 | $270.73 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 933.2 | $0.839 | $782.52 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 365.85 | $0.820 | $300 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.019 | $25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | sell | 958.91 | $0.983 | $942.7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 298.78 | $0.590 | $176.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 585.85 | $0.659 | $386.16 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | sell | 410.95 | $0.960 | $394.58 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No | buy | 446.37 | $0.916 | $408.71 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 148.5 | $0.528 | $78.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 409.34 | $0.875 | $358.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 495.08 | $0.930 | $460.49 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 798.35 | $0.780 | $622.71 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.730 | $1K | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.900 | $400 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 129.57 | $0.386 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 446.74 | $0.895 | $400 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 140.03 | $0.680 | $95.22 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 107.29 | $0.887 | $95.22 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 828 | $0.750 | $621 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | sell | 224.2 | $0.301 | $67.39 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | sell | 224.19 | $0.357 | $80.09 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 76.35 | $0.655 | $50 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 278.71 | $0.718 | $200 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 364.15 | $0.732 | $266.5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 12.11 | $0.945 | $11.44 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.023 | $50.53 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | sell | 262.22 | $0.780 | $204.53 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | buy | 448.4 | $0.709 | $318.03 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 322.22 | $0.987 | $318.03 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 432.48 | $0.830 | $358.96 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 363 | $0.989 | $358.96 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 262.22 | $0.699 | $183.22 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 363 | $0.816 | $296.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 290.92 | $0.687 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.046 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.850 | $857.91 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.880 | $888.2 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 752.68 | $0.985 | $741.39 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.330 | $300 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 537.63 | $0.930 | $500 | Nov 7, 2024 |