Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 34 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 31 Jan 2026.
Across the 246 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 14 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%; a month before, 19.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 50% on 7 Feb 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?”.
$29.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $27.6K since listing. The order book holds $1.54K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 247 trades, $145.37 bought Yes and $10.08K bought No; the largest was a $2.36K buy of No at 84.0¢.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 120 shares; the largest No position is lufei88888 with 110. Ten wallets hold 60.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 120.27 |
| lufei88888 | No | 110.12 |
| Sylvester.the.Cat | No | 100.59 |
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026
| shiifoo | No | 88.98 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 85.94 |
| Crevonde | Yes | 67.48 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 62.03 |
| Hviking | No | 55.77 |
| 2B9S | No | 49.49 |
| Short-Term-Code | Yes | 38.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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