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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 15K | $0.821 | $13.2K | +$883.98 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 335.81 | $0.860 | $288.8 | 9d ago |
|
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.460 |
| $8.05K |
| +$3.45K |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 10K | $0.806 | $8.03K | -$34.99 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.950 | $4.73K | -$25 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.940 | $4.73K | +$25 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.950 | $4.73K | -$25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5K | $0.924 | $4.63K | +$5.01 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5K | $0.930 | $4.63K | -$25 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 5K | $0.799 | $4.63K | +$627.26 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.693 | $4.52K | +$1.06K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 4K | $0.851 | $3.94K | +$534.78 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7K | $0.230 | $3.21K | +$1.6K |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 4K | $0.879 | $3.2K | -$320.34 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.840 | $2.57K | +$45 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.801 | $2.54K | +$137 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 2.55K | $0.750 | $2.02K | +$114.59 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.870 | $1.96K | +$221 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 2K | $0.820 | $1.92K | +$276 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.892 | $1.7K | -$85.17 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 2K | $0.430 | $1.29K | +$430 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.730 | $935 | +$205 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.700 | $915 | +$215 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $860 | +$160 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1K | $0.719 | $835 | +$116.38 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 3K | $0.310 | $795 | -$135 |
| buy |
| 275.33 |
| $0.850 |
| $234.03 |
| 12d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.352 | $703.75 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.840 | $2.52K | 15d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5K | $0.785 | $3.93K | 15d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 5K | $0.930 | $4.65K | 18d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.070 | $140 | 18d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 250.85 | $0.900 | $225.77 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.563 | $813.3 | 19d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 281 | $0.329 | $92.45 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.950 | $30.4 | 19d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 880.65 | $0.864 | $760.78 | 22d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | 23d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.950 | $4.75K | 23d ago |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 631.83 | $0.850 | $537.06 | 25d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.224 | $2.02 | 26d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 799.9 | $0.054 | $43.19 | 26d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 200.1 | $0.055 | $11.01 | 26d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.750 | $3.75K | 26d ago |
 Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes | buy | 222.02 | $0.137 | $30.47 | 26d ago |
| Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.069 | $6.86 | 26d ago |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.040 | $80 | 26d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.883 | $3.53K | 26d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 463 | $0.860 | $398.18 | 26d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 537.62 | $0.845 | $454.48 | 26d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.440 | $880 | 27d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 513.1 | $0.346 | $177.5 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.893 | $1.79K | 27d ago |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.513 | $513.29 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.981 | $4.91K | 28d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | 28d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 362.2 | $0.790 | $286.14 | 28d ago |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes | sell | 57.81 | $0.750 | $43.36 | 28d ago |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes | sell | 382.68 | $0.761 | $291.22 | 28d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.757 | $529.81 | 28d ago |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.98K | $0.005 | $14.91 | 29d ago |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.020 | $198.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 459.32 | $0.150 | $69.12 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 485 | $0.211 | $102.32 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.057 | $57.11 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 5K | $0.750 | $3.75K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.950 | $4.75K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.146 | $73.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 4.48K | $0.011 | $49.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3K | $0.310 | $930 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.820 | $4.02K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.600 | $599.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |