Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.12K | $0.529 | $20.39K | +$220.95 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 53.45 | $0.420 | $22.45 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 42.63K |
| $0.544 |
| $19.82K |
| -$3.36K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 20.23K | $0.840 | $17.3K | +$308.9 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 13.97K | $0.746 | $12.22K | +$1.8K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12.27K | $0.880 | $11.42K | +$624.05 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 7.97K | $0.688 | $6.33K | +$849.76 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 4.64K | $0.921 | $4.38K | +$111.13 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.15K | $0.799 | $4.3K | +$184.94 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 4.49K | $0.905 | $4.27K | +$205.51 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.49K | $0.602 | $3.93K | -$574.41 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 4.09K | $0.775 | $3.73K | +$557.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.71K | $0.643 | $3.39K | -$282.67 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.24K | $0.399 | $3.36K | +$466 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.92K | $0.802 | $3.33K | +$184.75 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 3.43K | $0.823 | $3.28K | +$451.57 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.47K | $0.886 | $3.14K | +$64.72 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.5K | $0.877 | $3.1K | +$29.17 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.96K | $0.979 | $2.9K | +$8.71 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.56K | $0.776 | $2.9K | +$140.06 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.831 | $2.81K | +$312.55 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.33K | $0.795 | $2.77K | +$121.47 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 4.03K | $0.676 | $2.72K | -$3.72 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 3.76K | $0.744 | $2.65K | -$146.41 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.61K | $0.939 | $2.59K | +$135.01 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.89K | $0.828 | $2.5K | +$106.03 |
| sell |
| 973.03 |
| $0.959 |
| $933.35 |
| 5h ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 3.84K | $0.967 | $3.71K | 5h ago |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 271 | $0.926 | $251.01 | 9h ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 684.37 | $0.820 | $561.18 | 9h ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.804 | $1.61K | 9h ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.045 | $4.5 | 10h ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.952 | $1.51K | 10h ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 200.81 | $0.910 | $182.74 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 565.25 | $0.120 | $67.83 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.120 | $135.76 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.770 | $1K | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.130 | $1.29 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.130 | $138.44 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.130 | $145.16 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.140 | $184.13 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 3.61K | $0.140 | $505.58 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 10.58K | $0.130 | $1.38K | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 620.92 | $0.720 | $447.06 | 2d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.93K | $0.930 | $1.8K | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 992.18 | $0.830 | $823.51 | 5d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.170 | $850 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.440 | $440 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | 6d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.120 | $1.08 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.750 | $22.42 | 6d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.18K | $0.050 | $408.77 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.580 | $1.16K | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.19K | $0.570 | $8.66K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.570 | $5.7K | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.840 | $1.44K | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.770 | $2.31K | 9d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.860 | $24.93 | 9d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | sell | 623.37 | $0.900 | $561.03 | 9d ago |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 572.22 | $0.954 | $545.9 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | 10d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.720 | $720 | 10d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 999.94 | $0.470 | $469.97 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 364.63 | $0.890 | $324.52 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 3.78K | $0.850 | $3.21K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.530 | $5.3K | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.98K | $0.320 | $1.59K | 12d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.820 | $914.7 | 12d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2K | $0.960 | $1.92K | 12d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | 13d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 367 | $0.760 | $278.92 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.7K | $0.670 | $7.84K | 14d ago |