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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 11.94K | $0.154 | $1.61K | -$224.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.170 | $493.09 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.14K |
| $0.077 |
| $1.37K |
| -$266.15 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.36K | $0.275 | $1K | -$195.13 |
 Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | No | 1.39K | $0.695 | $994.06 | +$27.34 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.667 | $855.79 | -$15.22 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.68K | $0.189 | $843.19 | -$42.34 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 5.26K | $0.155 | $762.75 | -$52 |
 Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | No | 834.03 | $0.647 | $587.99 | +$48.36 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.31K | $0.060 | $502.76 | -$60.71 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 777.31 | $0.497 | $415.86 | +$29.73 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 31.18K | $0.092 | $389.8 | -$2.47K |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 14.76K | $0.066 | $361.72 | -$607.09 |
 Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | No | 610.42 | $0.456 | $305.21 | +$27.07 |
| Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 421.68 | $0.671 | $293.07 | +$10.08 |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | 300 | $0.800 | $238.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $132.5B by September 30? | No | 305.68 | $0.763 | $227.73 | -$5.55 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.09K | $0.111 | $219.1 | -$12.22 |
 Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 239.98 | $0.832 | $207.58 | +$8.01 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 1.84K | $0.110 | $193.19 | -$9.2 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.077 | $166.89 | -$65.84 |
 Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 195 | $0.820 | $161.85 | +$1.95 |
 Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 244 | $0.660 | $156.16 | -$4.88 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.170 | $155 | -$15 |
 Will Trump say "Education" during remarks at the Pentagon? | No | 202.16 | $0.728 | $153.64 | +$6.5 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks at the Pentagon? | No | 218.63 | $0.733 | $151.95 | -$8.25 |
| sell |
| 165 |
| $0.710 |
| $117.15 |
| 3h ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.320 | $26.24 | 3h ago |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | sell | 34.79 | $0.230 | $8 | 3h ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.310 | $3.13 | 3h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 58.01 | $0.320 | $18.56 | 3h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.287 | $30.96 | 3h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.239 | $667.84 | 3h ago |
| Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.105 | $4.2 | 12h ago |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes | buy | 365 | $0.561 | $204.85 | 13h ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | 13h ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | 13h ago |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 45.37 | $0.670 | $30.4 | 13h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 678.48 | $0.428 | $290.08 | 14h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 166.98 | $0.679 | $113.45 | 14h ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "World War" during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?No | sell | 101 | $0.778 | $78.56 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 60.99 | $0.537 | $32.73 | 15h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 533.47 | $0.381 | $203.13 | 15h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.07 | $0.370 | $84.02 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 101 | $0.638 | $64.44 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.323 | $25.8 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.425 | $17 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.215 | $8.6 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 80 | $0.670 | $53.6 | 15h ago |
| Will Trump say "Education" during remarks at the Pentagon?No | buy | 80 | $0.700 | $56 | 15h ago |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.403 | $66.04 | 16h ago |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 16h ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 151 | $0.570 | $86.07 | 16h ago |
| Will Trump say "American Flag" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.434 | $63 | 16h ago |
 Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 60% or more?No | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | 16h ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 315.79 | $0.168 | $52.98 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.410 | $24.6 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.87 | $0.074 | $10.45 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 481.56 | $0.594 | $286.22 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 296.45 | $0.241 | $71.48 | 17h ago |
 GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 315.72 | $0.240 | $75.77 | 17h ago |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 116.43 | $0.468 | $54.54 | 17h ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 644.89 | $0.166 | $106.81 | 18h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Yes | sell | 82.54 | $0.090 | $7.43 | 18h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 944.29 | $0.870 | $821.53 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 107.71 | $0.299 | $32.21 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 359.97 | $0.520 | $187.18 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No | sell | 246.43 | $0.220 | $54.21 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 173.57 | $0.330 | $57.28 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 1d ago |