Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 6.7 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 14 Nov 2025.
Across the 328 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.5% on 1 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.1%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 14% on 25 Nov 2025.
$2.87K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $427.79K since listing. The order book holds $195.93K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.53K bought Yes and $40.18K bought No; the largest was a $17.66K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Pete22J with 44.7K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 29.1K. Ten wallets hold 65.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 7:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 328 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 10.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/modi-out-before-2027
| fledger |
| Yes |
| 10.33K |
| risk-manager | No | 10.14K |
| Zaratustra | No | 7.7K |
| testingtesttt | Yes | 7.56K |
| DEGENKHAN | No | 6.17K |
| asit1 | No | 4.89K |
| recreated-forever | Yes | 4.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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