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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.01K | $0.823 | $8.76K | +$520.69 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.900 | $13.49 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.7K |
| $0.922 |
| $7.21K |
| +$108.95 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.71K | $0.921 | $5.6K | +$341.22 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.3K | $0.736 | $5.38K | -$1.46K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 5.01K | $0.967 | $4.96K | +$116.56 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5.03K | $0.839 | $4.05K | -$169.79 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.05K | $0.863 | $3.54K | +$48.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.947 | $2.88K | +$43.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.79K | $0.670 | $2.78K | +$244.47 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.9K | $0.866 | $2.48K | -$31.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.02K | $0.440 | $2.11K | +$341.7 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.904 | $1.86K | +$51.53 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.840 | $1.73K | +$50 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.965 | $1.42K | +$11.78 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.4K | +$52.5 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2K | $0.674 | $1.29K | -$61 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 1.8K | $0.718 | $1.25K | -$42 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7.86K | $0.196 | $1.14K | -$399.85 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.882 | $1.09K | -$8.75 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.25K | $0.870 | $1.08K | -$6.25 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2.86K | $0.382 | $1.01K | -$77.41 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 1.44K | $0.705 | $1K | -$15.01 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1K | $0.910 | $968 | +$58 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 992.48 | $0.890 | $918.04 | +$34.74 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.96 | $0.880 | $874.96 | -$5 |
| sell |
| 0.35 |
| $0.310 |
| $0.11 |
| 1h ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 280 | $0.300 | $84 | 1h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.410 | $205 | 1h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 495.08 | $0.590 | $292.1 | 1h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.670 | $66.99 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | 1d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 503.86 | $0.860 | $433.32 | 1d ago |
 US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen ZhengQinwen Zheng | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 245 | $0.720 | $176.4 | 3d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.999 | $1.51 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.984 | $0.98 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 550.59 | $0.150 | $82.59 | 6d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.510 | $408 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 552 | $0.650 | $358.8 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | 7d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.380 | $21.96 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | 9d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.940 | $235 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 617 | $0.120 | $74.04 | 9d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.620 | $155 | 10d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.650 | $45.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Yes | buy | 194.83 | $0.580 | $113 | 11d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | 11d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.870 | $2.18K | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 81.47 | $0.110 | $8.96 | 12d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 465.58 | $0.352 | $163.88 | 13d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.03K | $0.026 | $130.71 | 13d ago |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | sell | 96.98 | $0.600 | $58.19 | 13d ago |
 Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.026 | $7.8 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 78.87 | $0.820 | $64.67 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 238 | $0.870 | $207.06 | 15d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 425.59 | $0.970 | $412.82 | 15d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 18d ago |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.032 | $0.06 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.920 | $736 | 18d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 305 | $0.385 | $117.43 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 246.94 | $0.880 | $217.31 | 18d ago |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 135.8 | $0.074 | $10.05 | 19d ago |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.019 | $4.75 | 19d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 519.99 | $0.074 | $38.46 | 19d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 144.85 | $0.050 | $7.23 | 19d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 299.99 | $0.064 | $19.2 | 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.956 | $1.05K | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 19d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 51 | $0.840 | $42.84 | 21d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.984 | $984 | 21d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | buy | 337.41 | $0.400 | $134.96 | 21d ago |