Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 49 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 347 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.7%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 24% on 7 Nov 2025.
$1.21 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $275.2K since listing. The order book holds $34.66K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $501.83 bought Yes and $32.72K bought No; the largest was a $9.2K sell of No at 91.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Remote-Roast-Crane with 23.3K shares; the largest No position is Cobalt Sphinx AB2C with 8.1K. Ten wallets hold 75.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 347 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Remote-Roast-Crane | Yes | 23.26K |
| Cobalt Sphinx AB2C | No | 8.11K |
| thoodr | No | 7.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027
| Donny.T | No | 4.88K |
| taesookim | No | 3.5K |
| YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE | Yes | 3.18K |
| BenjarninNetanyahu | No | 2.17K |
| seyo | No | 2.07K |
| archaic | No | 2.01K |
| Zaratustra | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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