Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 31.97K | $0.807 | $29.68K | +$3.88K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.8K | $0.009 | $61.24 | 11d ago |
|
| No |
| 26K |
| $0.795 |
| $18.85K |
| -$1.82K |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.18M | $0.008 | $18.51K | +$1.13K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 110K | $0.309 | $15.79K | -$18.22K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 15K | $0.940 | $14.25K | +$150 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 14.92K | $0.837 | $13.8K | +$1.31K |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10K | $0.830 | $8.65K | +$350.02 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 7.5K | $0.909 | $7.38K | +$558.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7K | $0.818 | $5.99K | +$260.01 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 5.07K | $0.844 | $4.86K | +$586.77 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.860 | $4.43K | +$125 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 4.5K | $0.750 | $4.21K | +$832.53 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.890 | $2.67K | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.700 | $1.98K | -$820 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.697 | $1.91K | +$515 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.571 | $1.27K | -$2.44K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.98K | $0.072 | $1.15K | -$355.41 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1.57K | $0.843 | $1.08K | -$248.56 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 19.16K | $0.147 | $1.05K | -$1.77K |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 496.84K | $0.002 | $745.26 | -$248.42 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 548.97 | $0.849 | $494.07 | +$27.99 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1.5K | $0.230 | $442.5 | +$97.5 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 450 | $0.756 | $409.73 | +$69.53 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 450 | $0.670 | $409.5 | +$108 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 492.56 | $0.807 | $396.51 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 8.92K |
| $0.985 |
| $8.78K |
| 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | sell | 810.23 | $0.340 | $275.48 | 17d ago |
 Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 36.79K | $0.004 | $147.18 | 17d ago |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 2.86K | $0.006 | $17.16 | 17d ago |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 10.04K | $0.008 | $80.34 | 17d ago |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 32.55K | $0.004 | $130.21 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.760 | $3.8K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.718 | $25.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 767.99 | $0.582 | $446.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | sell | 16.28K | $0.247 | $4.03K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | sell | 10.58K | $0.253 | $2.67K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw?Yes | sell | 7.85K | $0.200 | $1.57K | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 44.1K | $0.001 | $44.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.004 | $4.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 46.07K | $0.006 | $276.43 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 17.97K | $0.005 | $89.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 296.55 | $0.460 | $136.41 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.217 | $3.26K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?No | sell | 10.83 | $0.468 | $5.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?No | sell | 14.99K | $0.470 | $7.04K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 50.25K | $0.002 | $100.49 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?No | sell | 15K | $0.750 | $11.25K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.070 | $0.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.190 | $5.7K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 17.63 | $0.760 | $13.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.230 | $0.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | sell | 10.32K | $0.160 | $1.65K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.250 | $596.18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | sell | 1.81K | $0.350 | $631.78 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | sell | 0.42 | $0.520 | $0.22 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.290 | $0.24 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.001 | $2.43 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.12K | $0.007 | $189.83 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.34K | $0.008 | $74.69 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.820 | $123.82 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 1.98K | $0.490 | $969.07 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.177 | $252.12 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.002 | $3.07 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.058 | $112.97 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.058 | $76.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 636.25 | $0.058 | $36.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 372.9 | $0.058 | $21.63 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 593.64 | $0.504 | $299.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.001 | $1.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.003 | $3.55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.28K | $0.999 | $5.27K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 150K | $0.001 | $150 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 30K | $0.290 | $8.7K | Jun 16, 2026 |