Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
risk-manager has made $196.27K on Polymarket, #1,060 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 26K | $0.795 | $21.71K | +$1.04K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 12:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 16:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 16:22 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 872 markets. Its open positions are worth $153.75K across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 23.11K |
| $0.812 |
| $20.64K |
| +$1.87K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 105K | $0.309 | $17.8K | -$14.66K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 16.54K | $0.942 | $15.82K | +$234.88 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 16.42K | $0.846 | $15.35K | +$1.46K |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.88K | $0.957 | $10.47K | +$52.81 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10K | $0.830 | $9.25K | +$950.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.827 | $8.05K | -$224.99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 5.07K | $0.844 | $4.7K | +$424.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 4.5K | $0.750 | $4.3K | +$922.53 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.860 | $4.28K | -$25 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 5.46K | $0.889 | $4.2K | -$647.32 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 3.95K | $0.904 | $3.74K | +$172.98 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.19M | $0.008 | $3.29K | -$14.22K |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.700 | $2.98K | +$180.01 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.697 | $1.73K | +$335 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 19.16K | $0.147 | $929.18 | -$1.9K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.571 | $747.5 | -$2.96K |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 367.29K | $0.002 | $550.93 | -$183.64 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 450 | $0.756 | $425.93 | +$85.73 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 450 | $0.670 | $411.75 | +$110.25 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1.57K | $0.843 | $377.78 | -$949.02 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250K | $0.004 | $375 | -$625 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 492.56 | $0.807 | $295.54 | -$101.86 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 195.88K | $0.006 | $293.83 | -$881.28 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
