Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
risk-manager has made $196.03K on Polymarket, #1,062 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 26K | $0.795 | $21.58K | +$910.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 06:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 11:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 11:49 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 872 markets. Its open positions are worth $152.13K across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 23.11K |
| $0.812 |
| $20.66K |
| +$1.89K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 105K | $0.309 | $17.75K | -$14.71K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 16.54K | $0.942 | $15.82K | +$234.88 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 16.42K | $0.846 | $15.35K | +$1.46K |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.22K | $0.956 | $9.82K | +$52.44 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10K | $0.830 | $9.15K | +$850.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.827 | $8.05K | -$224.99 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 5.07K | $0.844 | $4.72K | +$437.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 4.5K | $0.750 | $4.3K | +$922.53 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5K | $0.860 | $4.28K | -$25 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 5.46K | $0.889 | $4.23K | -$620.04 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.19M | $0.008 | $3.29K | -$14.22K |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.700 | $2.98K | +$180.01 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.890 | $2.84K | +$172.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.697 | $1.87K | +$475 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 19.16K | $0.147 | $890.86 | -$1.93K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6.5K | $0.571 | $747.5 | -$2.96K |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 367.39K | $0.002 | $551.08 | -$183.69 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 450 | $0.756 | $426.6 | +$86.4 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 450 | $0.670 | $414 | +$112.5 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1.57K | $0.843 | $385.65 | -$941.15 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250K | $0.004 | $375 | -$625 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 492.56 | $0.807 | $302.92 | -$94.48 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 195.88K | $0.006 | $293.83 | -$881.28 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
