Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, about where the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 221 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (41 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.3% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 4 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.9%; a month before, 1.1%.
Thomas Massie ranks 17th of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. JD Vance leads at 18.2%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 13%.
$904.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.59M since listing. The order book holds $343.52K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.88K bought Yes and $5.23K bought No; the largest was a $1.33K sell of No at 99.0¢.
The largest Yes position is billybad11 with 528.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.73M. Ten wallets hold 87% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 221 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 1.3% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.73M |
| billybad11 | Yes | 528.41K |
| Crushing-Ideal | Yes | 407.77K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
42 more outcomes, none above 1.3%.
| AF2028 | Yes | 396.74K |
| Cosmic Horizon 36F0 | Yes | 232.45K |
| TangledUpInBlue | Yes | 100K |
| peasant | Yes | 98.72K |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk | Yes | 96.57K |
| BernardB | Yes | 85.55K |
| Filthy-Walrus | Yes | 74.62K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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