Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 1.6 points from 4.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 442 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.9% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 9 Sep 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 2.9%.
Josh Shapiro ranks seventh of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. JD Vance leads at 18.1%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 13%.
$497.75 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.64M since listing. The order book holds $361.32K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.02K bought Yes and $5.97K bought No; the largest was a $1.7K sell of No at 96.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Ivory Ledger 752C with 227.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.73M. Ten wallets hold 73.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 442 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 4.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.73M |
| Ivory Ledger 752C | Yes | 227.18K |
| BabyKangroo | Yes | 184.69K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
43 more outcomes, none above 1.3%.
| 11122 | Yes | 159.02K |
| iamgoooood | Yes | 154.28K |
| NAH777 | Yes | 128.41K |
| MyDadsMoney | Yes | 125.49K |
| tugator | Yes | 107.5K |
| schlomosgoy | Yes | 106.3K |
| rekt-prediction | Yes | 105.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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