Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 8.1 points from 8.2% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13.8% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2.4% on 11 Aug 2026.
Amazon ranks eighth of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Apple leads at 48.5%; NVIDIA is at 43%.
$33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.21K since listing. The order book holds $20.95K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 76 trades, $2.26 bought Yes and $747.23 bought No.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 8.2% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.6K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.19K |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 286.64 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 255.93 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 228 |
| donthackme | Yes | 214.55 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 200.54 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 170 |
| fourcoin15m | Yes | 160.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
