Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 24 points from 28% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 11 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 13.5% on 24 Sep 2026.
Alphabet ranks third of the 9 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. NVIDIA leads at 45.5%; Apple is at 45%.
$101.67 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.2K since listing. The order book holds $7.42K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 255 trades, $344.22 bought Yes and $3.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 28.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.6K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.07K |
| SteveTheFish | Yes | 977.77 |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| TouchDownThana |
| Yes |
| 600 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 526.53 |
| balthazar | Yes | 510.01 |
| marcopolosrhino | Yes | 477.63 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 452.99 |
| Writhing-Beard | Yes | 340 |
| Amazing-Accommodation | No | 280 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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