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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.9K | $0.757 | $1.86K | +$426.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.5K |
| $0.842 |
| $1.5K |
| +$236.25 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.560 | $837 | -$171 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 724.99 | $0.744 | $619.87 | +$80.5 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.3K | $0.230 | $483 | -$44.99 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | Yes | 500 | $0.102 | $480 | +$428.8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 500 | $0.622 | $417.5 | +$106.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1.1K | $0.405 | $390.5 | -$55.5 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 500 | $0.504 | $352.5 | +$100.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.784 | $344.4 | -$125.8 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.796 | $330.6 | +$12.2 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 299.12 | $0.572 | $298.52 | +$127.32 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 300 | $0.879 | $296.55 | +$32.75 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 313.08 | $0.266 | $286.94 | +$203.82 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 399.99 | $0.675 | $273.99 | +$4 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.600 | $262.5 | -$37.5 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 681.25 | $0.324 | $239.46 | +$18.92 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.728 | $223.75 | +$41.75 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 300.01 | $0.630 | $220.51 | +$31.5 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.200 | $216.8 | -$103.79 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 400 | $0.520 | $198 | -$10 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.553 | $196.5 | +$30.5 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 194.3 | $0.792 | $194.2 | +$40.25 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.745 | $187 | +$38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.780 | $185 | +$29 |
| sell |
| 599.99 |
| $0.160 |
| $96 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.002 | $2.22 | 10d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.237 | $23.7 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.622 | $248.77 | 10d ago |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.222 | $22.2 | 10d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 419.97 | $0.450 | $188.99 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | 13d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.685 | $136.98 | 14d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.310 | $93 | 14d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.002 | $3.21 | 15d ago |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.022 | $6.63 | 15d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?No | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 24d ago |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No | sell | 49.96 | $0.460 | $22.98 | 24d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 165.02 | $0.290 | $47.86 | 24d ago |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | 25d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | 25d ago |
 Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 104.34 | $0.944 | $98.52 | 25d ago |
 Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 150 | $0.940 | $141.03 | 25d ago |
 Benedict Wong as Wong?No | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 25d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.570 | $113.99 | 28d ago |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.860 | $0.41 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 101.45 | $0.410 | $41.59 | 28d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 197.55 | $0.480 | $94.82 | 28d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.590 | $354 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | 28d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | sell | 300 | $0.538 | $161.5 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | 28d ago |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.255 | $12.73 | 29d ago |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.098 | $58.68 | 29d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 639.75 | $0.740 | $473.42 | 29d ago |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 256.46 | $0.090 | $23.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 339.98 | $0.097 | $32.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.310 | $46.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.440 | $61.63 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 319.99 | $0.251 | $80.33 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.240 | $96 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.300 | $120 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.627 | $125.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 189 | $0.800 | $151.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.080 | $128 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.97 | $0.450 | $35.99 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 587.52 | $0.260 | $152.76 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.230 | $57.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.018 | $28.69 | Aug 9, 2026 |