Analytics
Yes is at 2.8%, down 33 points from 36% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 246 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.1%; a month before, 3.7%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 35% on 14 Feb 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$22.66K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.81M since listing. The order book holds $103.74K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.47K bought Yes and $148.82K bought No; the largest was a $45.77K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0 with 53K shares; the largest No position is Serene-Decision with 149.5K. Ten wallets hold 45.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Serene-Decision | No | 149.55K |
| notprofitabl | No | 84.02K |
| D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0 | Yes | 52.98K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
17 more markets, none above 2.6%.
| Cyclewin | Yes | 48.64K |
| LuckyChole | No | 45.2K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 29.35K |
| Organic-Intensity | Yes | 28.24K |
| LucasMeow | No | 25K |
| Marioy | No | 22.54K |
| F21 | Yes | 20.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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