Analytics
Marioy has made $685.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | No | 30K | $0.943 | $29.14K | +$846.83 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crypto | +$9.99K | $10.25K | 4 | 4 | 25.0% | $192.87 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 09:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 09:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 09:29 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 09:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $49.44K and losing ones cost $116.29K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.5K on “Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $11.92K on “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?” (No).
It has traded 486 markets. Most of the volume is in crypto ($10.25K). Its open positions are worth $191.05K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 30K |
| $0.433 |
| $27.75K |
| +$14.75K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.17K | $0.588 | $27.55K | +$10.4K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.54K | $0.708 | $21.83K | +$5.87K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | No | 10K | $0.900 | $9.92K | +$915 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | No | 10K | $0.929 | $9.85K | +$552.99 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.02K | $0.745 | $9.72K | +$2.25K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | No | 10K | $0.870 | $9.5K | +$795 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.290 | $8.85K | +$5.95K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.25K | $0.496 | $5.9K | +$2.8K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.710 | $4.78K | +$1.23K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 5K | $0.350 | $4.67K | +$2.92K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 5K | $0.260 | $4.65K | +$3.35K |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5K | $0.872 | $4.52K | +$157.52 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 5K | $0.210 | $4.5K | +$3.45K |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 4.27K | $0.600 | $3.78K | +$1.22K |
 Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 2K | $0.910 | $2K | +$178 |
 Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.910 | $1.49K | +$92.36 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.870 | $659.99 | -$210 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 500 | $0.700 | $9.75 | -$340.25 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
