Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.71K | $0.577 | $1.37K | -$194.65 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.160 | $0.81 | 6m ago |
|
| No |
| 2.52K |
| $0.530 |
| $1.35K |
| +$12.61 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.450 | $1.15K | +$12.61 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $1,000 | 2.71K | $0.332 | $920.25 | +$20.62 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 729.42 | $0.813 | $604.69 | +$11.89 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31? | Yes | 2.93K | $0.123 | $366.8 | +$5.34 |
 Obama arrested before 2027? | No | 328.12 | $0.971 | $318.77 | +$0.19 |
 Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman? | No | 267.54 | $0.979 | $260.85 | -$1.1 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | No | 262.49 | $0.989 | $258.03 | -$1.58 |
 Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | No | 227.97 | $0.794 | $183.51 | +$2.58 |
 Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 211.67 | $0.674 | $168.28 | +$25.49 |
 Will Brad and Tracy win AGT Season 21? | No | 161.99 | $0.990 | $161.58 | +$1.23 |
| Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 211.68 | $0.582 | $142.88 | +$19.69 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | No | 744.52 | $0.154 | $122.85 | +$7.77 |
| Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? | Over | 211.67 | $0.661 | $120.65 | -$19.26 |
 Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 189.99 | $0.502 | $108.29 | +$12.92 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 189.98 | $0.452 | $84.54 | -$1.25 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 128.26 | $0.491 | $83.37 | +$20.34 |
 Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 138.16 | $0.530 | $72.53 | -$0.74 |
| Will Brad and Tracy be the runner-up of AGT Season 21? | No | 73.46 | $0.978 | $71.88 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 70.09 | $0.968 | $70.02 | +$2.17 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | Yes | 404.38 | $0.300 | $64.7 | -$56.75 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | No | 64.2 | $0.858 | $62.27 | +$7.21 |
 Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 62.5 | $0.914 | $56.56 | -$0.54 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 55.57 | $0.959 | $53.46 | +$0.17 |
| sell |
| 5.04 |
| $0.840 |
| $4.23 |
| 6m ago |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.210 | $1.06 | 25m ago |
 Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 29m ago |
| Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 29m ago |
| Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 1h ago |
| Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.520 | $3.12 | 1h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 58 | $0.160 | $9.28 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 352 | $0.813 | $286.18 | 2h ago |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 48 | $0.930 | $44.64 | 2h ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.076 | $3.65 | 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.813 | $14.42 | 2h ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 3h ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 3h ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.3 | $0.300 | $9.39 | 3h ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 31.29 | $0.550 | $17.21 | 3h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | sell | 19.77 | $0.140 | $2.77 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 168.22 | $0.808 | $135.92 | 3h ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.24 | $0.410 | $16.91 | 3h ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 41.25 | $0.528 | $21.78 | 3h ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 31.68 | $0.180 | $5.7 | 3h ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.500 | $3.28 | 3h ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.063 | $0.32 | 3h ago |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.807 | $9.6 | 3h ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.062 | $0.62 | 3h ago |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 3h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | sell | 264.86 | $0.141 | $37.38 | 3h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.147 | $2.27 | 4h ago |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.320 | $1.89 | 4h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 49.25 | $0.160 | $7.88 | 6h ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 49.06 | $0.520 | $25.51 | 6h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 15.13 | $0.150 | $2.27 | 6h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 23.93 | $0.150 | $3.59 | 7h ago |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.63 | $0.230 | $1.98 | 7h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.63 | $0.790 | $6.82 | 7h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 10h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 10h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.220 | $2.42 | 10h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.780 | $8.58 | 10h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.66 | $0.280 | $4.38 | 10h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.66 | $0.720 | $11.28 | 10h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | sell | 50.53 | $0.150 | $7.58 | 10h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50.53 | $0.857 | $43.3 | 10h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | buy | 39.09 | $0.994 | $38.86 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | buy | 142.15 | $0.993 | $141.15 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No | buy | 81.25 | $0.980 | $79.59 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | 11h ago |
 Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?No | sell | 47.95 | $0.670 | $32.13 | 11h ago |
| Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Yes | sell | 47.95 | $0.416 | $19.96 | 11h ago |