Analytics
The $1,000 side is at 34%, down 9 points from 43% when the market opened on 12 Mar 2026.
Across the 206 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 20 Jul 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close the $1,000 side was at 28.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 41% on 20 Aug 2026.
$16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $114.79K since listing. The order book holds $13.41K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.72K bought $1,000 and $3.52K bought $3,000; the largest was a $2.88K buy of $1,000 at 55.9¢.
The largest $1,000 position is chickengambler with 5.1K shares; the largest $3,000 position is Redpacket with 19.9K. Ten wallets hold 70.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:22 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the $1,000 price, Polymarket CLOB, 206 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | $1,000 price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 43.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Redpacket | $3,000 | 19.89K |
| cryptoincome | $3,000 | 5.5K |
| chickengambler | $1,000 | 5.11K |
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ethereum-hit-1k-or-3k-first
| AscendEs | $1,000 | 4.2K |
| bZk0Uo | $1,000 | 3.89K |
| daweishashax | $1,000 | 3.78K |
| FancyBustling | $3,000 | 3.67K |
| sleepy.frog | $1,000 | 3.15K |
| MaxEnt | $1,000 | 2.94K |
| ddrtrt | $1,000 | 2.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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