Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 8.1 points from 12% when the market opened on 18 Feb 2026.
Across the 220 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 1.3%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 39.5% on 26 May 2026.
$4.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.07K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 115 trades, $82.72 bought Yes and $1.36K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0xB16B00B5 with 459 shares; the largest No position is bZk0Uo with 515. Ten wallets hold 94.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 220 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 12.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bZk0Uo | No | 514.83 |
| 0xB16B00B5 | Yes | 458.76 |
| Robbb | No | 356.22 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-2028-republican-presidential-nominee-be-a-woman
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 165.77 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 79.91 |
| Golden Signal D11F | No | 76.54 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 63.57 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 51.1 |
| dissman | Yes | 42.97 |
| Indigo Ledger 6712 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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