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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 7.5K | $0.995 | $7.47K | +$3.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KOSPI all-time high before 2028?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.6K |
| $0.991 |
| $2.58K |
| +$11.11 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 2.7K | $0.823 | $2.32K | +$99.96 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 2K | $0.984 | $1.98K | +$15 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 1.57K | $0.892 | $1.49K | +$83.23 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.07K | $0.993 | $1.06K | +$2.67 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.758 | $1.01K | +$191.35 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.02K | $0.910 | $984.48 | +$53.33 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.950 | $964 | +$14 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.935 | $945 | +$10 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 913.38 | $0.971 | $905.16 | +$18.27 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 764.88 | $0.886 | $744.61 | +$66.95 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 612.21 | $0.916 | $603.95 | +$43.06 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.930 | $561 | +$3 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.953 | $480.75 | +$4.25 |
 Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 415.21 | $0.928 | $402.13 | +$16.71 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 400.01 | $0.957 | $388.61 | +$5.8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 625.08 | $0.608 | $378.17 | -$1.87 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.920 | $378 | +$10 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $374 | +$10 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 328.05 | $0.866 | $313.29 | +$29.22 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.930 | $283.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? | No | 285.19 | $0.842 | $255.25 | +$15.04 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 235.57 | $0.917 | $229.33 | +$13.23 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 224.58 | $0.931 | $209.99 | +$0.9 |
| buy |
| 79.1 |
| $0.940 |
| $74.35 |
| 1d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 376.1 | $0.850 | $319.69 | 2d ago |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.993 | $2.35K | 5d ago |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 5d ago |
 Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.908 | $81.7 | 6d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.009 | $13.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.013 | $16.9 | 7d ago |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | 7d ago |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | 7d ago |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 74.24 | $0.950 | $70.53 | 7d ago |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 7d ago |
 Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | buy | 64.59 | $0.024 | $1.54 | 8d ago |
 Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.885 | $35.4 | 8d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 919.53 | $0.860 | $790.8 | 8d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?Yes | buy | 82.11 | $0.015 | $1.21 | 8d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 9d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.987 | $493.49 | 9d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | 9d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | sell | 74.33 | $0.220 | $16.35 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 129.99 | $0.985 | $128.04 | 10d ago |
| Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | buy | 63.32 | $0.030 | $1.89 | 11d ago |
| Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | buy | 101.23 | $0.031 | $3.16 | 11d ago |
| What will be the next Fed rate change?Hike | buy | 148.05 | $0.536 | $79.31 | 11d ago |
| What will be the next Fed rate change?Hike | buy | 205 | $0.520 | $106.55 | 11d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.07 | $0.130 | $3.91 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.320 | $1.6K | 14d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?No | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.950 | $28.49 | 14d ago |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.290 | $29 | 14d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 14d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 14d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.464 | $32.45 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 14d ago |
| Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.860 | $25.71 | 14d ago |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | 14d ago |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?No | buy | 36.67 | $0.930 | $34.1 | 14d ago |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?No | buy | 140.17 | $0.930 | $130.4 | 14d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 14d ago |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | buy | 85.14 | $0.941 | $80.16 | 14d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.185 | $3.7 | 15d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.178 | $7.12 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.490 | $34.3 | 15d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | 15d ago |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.984 | $49.2 | 15d ago |