Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, down 21 points from 25% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 25% on 6 Nov 2025 and the low 1.7% on 11 May 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4%; a month ago, 2.7%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
$163.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.5K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $812.07 bought Yes and $14.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is jfksdlfjsd with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Minty-Vane with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 47.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 1:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 25.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 4.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jfksdlfjsd | Yes | 1.3K |
| Minty-Vane | No | 1.16K |
| theta-thunberg | Yes | 736.7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-before-2027
| hfdgfda32fvf |
| Yes |
| 672 |
| DrA11c0m3 | No | 520 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 403.31 |
| Serpentine-Flipflops | No | 402.41 |
| Keen Harbor B560 | Yes | 384.62 |
| Get10 | Yes | 333.95 |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 312.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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