Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 999.84 | $0.520 | $874.36 | +$354.44 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.820 | $24.59 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 700 |
| $0.740 |
| $661.5 |
| +$143.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 892.99 | $0.560 | $642.95 | +$142.88 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | No | 659.99 | $0.810 | $641.84 | +$107.25 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 645 | $0.920 | $626.3 | +$32.9 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 590 | $0.860 | $557.55 | +$50.15 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.930 | $555 | -$3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $515 | +$15 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 610 | $0.820 | $503.25 | +$3.05 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 689.98 | $0.730 | $496.79 | -$6.9 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 667 | $0.750 | $463.57 | -$36.69 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 499.98 | $0.910 | $437.49 | -$17.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 820 | $0.610 | $389.5 | -$110.7 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 4.53 | $0.640 | $3.81 | +$0.91 |
| buy |
| 550 |
| $0.920 |
| $506 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 308.15 | $0.250 | $77.04 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 131.58 | $0.260 | $34.21 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 462.01 | $0.270 | $124.74 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 210 | $0.280 | $58.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No | buy | 303 | $0.840 | $254.52 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.992 | $12.88 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 261.86 | $0.760 | $199.01 | May 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 550 | $0.994 | $546.7 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.992 | $595.19 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 404.08 | $0.898 | $362.86 | May 14, 2026 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No | buy | 520 | $0.770 | $400.4 | May 14, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.850 | $9.33 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 258 | $0.920 | $237.36 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 175.59 | $0.400 | $70.24 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.340 | $102 | May 3, 2026 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | buy | 126 | $0.780 | $98.28 | May 1, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by April 30?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.985 | $18.75 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29?No | sell | 55.12 | $0.192 | $10.57 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29?No | sell | 548.11 | $0.209 | $114.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29?No | sell | 603.22 | $0.910 | $549.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |