Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 20 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 8 Nov 2025.
Across the 327 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 25.5% on 7 Dec 2025.
$133.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.53K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.55K bought Yes and $25.06K bought No; the largest was a $3.12K buy of No at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is goatboss with 6.6K shares; the largest No position is hwey346ed with 9.8K. Ten wallets hold 61.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 327 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 27.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hwey346ed | No | 9.84K |
| goatboss | Yes | 6.61K |
| chivoexpiatorio | Yes | 5.55K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nyse-marketwide-circuit-breaker-before-2027
| MaxPowell |
| No |
| 4.8K |
| lowrisk24 | No | 4.52K |
| justme003 | No | 4.52K |
| MPCap20 | No | 3.66K |
| Cyphercapital | Yes | 3.45K |
| Taurusss | Yes | 3.33K |
| QMG-CORE | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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