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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.08K | $0.501 | $2.64K | +$1.09K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.66K |
| $0.188 |
| $1.54K |
| +$851.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.14K | $0.179 | $890.85 | -$209.14 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.237 | $584.77 | -$32.59 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 700 | $0.750 | $535.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.117 | $483.19 | +$12.22 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 3.41K | $0.142 | $477.4 | -$6.09 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 1K | $0.390 | $455 | +$65 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 3K | $0.199 | $405 | -$193 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.282 | $391.5 | +$11 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.399 | $382.5 | -$215.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 2.36K | $0.127 | $265.52 | -$33.59 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.22K | $0.200 | $202.08 | -$43.35 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.120 | $195.3 | -$28 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.279 | $181.66 | -$125.04 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 1.3K | $0.332 | $162.5 | -$269.49 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.293 | $141.91 | -$177.74 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 774.46 | $0.195 | $96.81 | -$54.33 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 183.06 | $0.601 | $86.95 | -$23.05 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.101 | $78.03 | -$35.07 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 324.83 | $0.304 | $47.1 | -$51.64 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | Yes | 360 | $0.141 | $37.8 | -$12.8 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 406.69 | $0.102 | $26.43 | -$15.14 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 390.3 | $0.223 | $24.78 | -$62.08 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.340 | $24.5 | -$9.5 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.240 |
| $12 |
| 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | 3d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | 3d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 67.99 | $0.119 | $8.09 | 3d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.118 | $4.6 | 3d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.230 | $8.97 | 3d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 4d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 4d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.750 | $375 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.390 | $390 | 4d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.126 | $19.91 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.145 | $1.88 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.146 | $8.32 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.153 | $22.91 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.105 | $21 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.104 | $4.06 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.103 | $2.37 | 5d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 323.2 | $0.110 | $35.55 | 7d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.109 | $4.58 | 7d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.083 | $29.3 | 8d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.23 | $0.114 | $3.56 | 9d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.83 | $0.240 | $0.2 | 9d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.041 | $51.09 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.680 | $1.23K | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.03 | $0.360 | $21.25 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 471.94 | $0.636 | $300 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.620 | $248 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.600 | $5.99 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | 22d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 310.49 | $0.155 | $48.13 | 26d ago |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.048 | $6.86 | 26d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.155 | $31 | 27d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | sell | 73.99 | $0.190 | $14.06 | 27d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | sell | 73.99 | $0.210 | $15.54 | 27d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.300 | $28.2 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | 27d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.150 | $9.9 | 27d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.149 | $1.39 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.550 | $8.25 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 212.46 | $0.560 | $118.98 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 147 | $0.570 | $83.79 | 27d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | 27d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.140 | $49 | 27d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.185 | $9.25 | 27d ago |