Analytics
Yes is at 28%, down 2 points from 30% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 343 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 19.5% on 13 Nov 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 32%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 11 Nov 2025.
It is one of 6 markets under “How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?”.
$31.74 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $120.84K since listing. The order book holds $6.35K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Jep-G with 31K shares; the largest No position is MrMarket with 20.8K. Ten wallets hold 78% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 2:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 343 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 30.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026
| DerDon |
| No |
| 12.61K |
| lug | No | 6.88K |
| mw97 | Yes | 3.6K |
| cocococococo | Yes | 2.94K |
| PeruvianPuffPepper | Yes | 2.59K |
| johnyjo | Yes | 2.48K |
| 0nk0nf0rm0d | Yes | 2.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
