Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 15.84K | $0.337 | $10.62K | +$5.28K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 29 | $0.380 | $11.02 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 8.13K |
| $0.585 |
| $6.14K |
| +$1.39K |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 38.17K | $0.188 | $5K | -$2.17K |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 6.81K | $0.713 | $4.8K | -$55.54 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 5.58K | $0.645 | $4.44K | +$838.69 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 3.53K | $0.940 | $3.43K | +$113.29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.58K | $0.548 | $3.32K | +$259.72 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 19.21K | $0.150 | $3.2K | +$318.87 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 8.78K | $0.215 | $2.59K | +$697.68 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.830 | $1.85K | +$190 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 30.78K | $0.057 | $1.85K | +$93.29 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | No | 3.41K | $0.489 | $1.81K | +$139.16 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.850 | $1.79K | +$221.8 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.485 | $1.78K | +$330.01 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 3.61K | $0.651 | $1.7K | -$655.28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 25.72K | $0.129 | $1.67K | -$1.65K |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.88K | $0.809 | $1.57K | +$50.78 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 1.62K | $0.854 | $1.56K | +$184.62 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 2.43K | $0.454 | $1.49K | +$390.04 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.45K | $0.969 | $1.44K | +$31.93 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.417 | $1.34K | -$329.97 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 5.33K | $0.136 | $1.2K | +$472.22 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.29K | $0.277 | $1.16K | -$299.74 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 7.5K | $0.130 | $1.16K | +$187.5 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.620 | $1.13K | -$110 |
| buy |
| 383.02 |
| $0.310 |
| $118.74 |
| 6h ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.460 | $11.55 | 6h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 262.64 | $0.590 | $154.96 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 111.27 | $0.330 | $36.72 | 7h ago |
| Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 403 | $0.420 | $169.26 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.58K | $0.548 | $3.06K | 1d ago |
| Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 148.24 | $0.730 | $108.22 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 525.97 | $0.396 | $208.39 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 97.58 | $0.340 | $33.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 321 | $0.400 | $128.4 | 2d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 733 | $0.420 | $307.86 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 10.9K | $0.340 | $3.7K | 2d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 61.96 | $0.963 | $59.67 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.968 | $290.3 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 183.73 | $0.160 | $29.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 3d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 700 | $0.340 | $237.9 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Over | buy | 650 | $0.940 | $611 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 4K | $0.977 | $3.91K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Over | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 59.44 | $0.931 | $55.34 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 61.37 | $0.870 | $53.39 | 4d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.790 | $866.35 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 373.45 | $0.310 | $115.77 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.850 | $6.21 | 4d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.140 | $19.04 | 4d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 334.9 | $0.390 | $130.61 | 5d ago |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?AfD | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | 5d ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 261.83 | $0.734 | $192.25 | 5d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.630 | $10.08 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 40.15 | $0.560 | $22.48 | 5d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.134 | $670.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.390 | $117 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.356 | $355.86 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 700 | $0.444 | $310.74 | 6d ago |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | 6d ago |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.268 | $348.29 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.130 | $198.47 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 296.67 | $0.120 | $35.6 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 545.2 | $0.019 | $10.36 | 7d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 12.34K | $0.035 | $430.27 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | sell | 18.56K | $0.005 | $92.82 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 250.92 | $0.100 | $25.09 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.724 | $868.61 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 948.06 | $0.163 | $154.46 | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 824.25 | $0.170 | $140.12 | 11d ago |
 Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?Yes | buy | 249.43 | $0.060 | $14.86 | 11d ago |