Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 34 points from 45% when the market opened on 22 Sep 2026.
The high was 45% on 22 Sep 2026 and the low 10.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 21% on 24 Sep 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?”.
$64.98 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.39K, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0nk0nf0rm0d with 30 shares; the largest No position is Viewbot with 35.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 4:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 22 Sep 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Viewbot | No | 34.99 |
| 0nk0nf0rm0d | Yes | 29.99 |
| mw97 | Yes | 8.57 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026
| AJSV |
| No |
| 3.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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