Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 45% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.3% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 67% on 23 Sep 2026. $2.4K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 3:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrMarket | No | 717.98 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | No | 80 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-2026
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 41.66 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 8 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| PPMT | No | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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