Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 5.89 | $0.630 | $5.28 | +$1.57 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10.3 | $0.120 | $1.24 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.77 |
| $0.590 |
| $5.22 |
| +$1.82 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5.13 | $0.400 | $4.26 | +$2.21 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 3.69 | $0.750 | $3.36 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 2.13 | $0.947 | $1.27 | -$0.75 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.72 | $0.727 | $0.61 | -$5.73 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.884 | $0.47 | -$5.98 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.36 | $0.860 | $0.27 | -$1.76 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 0.13 | $0.830 | $0.12 | +$0.01 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 29.05 | $0.050 | $0.04 | -$1.41 |
| sell |
| 1.18 |
| $0.780 |
| $0.92 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.23 | $0.010 | $0.22 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.780 | $0.16 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.770 | $1.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.250 | $1.55 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.890 | $2.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.850 | $2.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.740 | $2.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.720 | $1.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.860 | $2.03 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.950 | $1.69 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.920 | $2.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.977 | $0.19 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.910 | $0.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.910 | $0.05 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.830 | $0.03 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.46 | $0.830 | $0.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.890 | $0.08 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.890 | $0.08 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.323 | $0.83 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.989 | $1.53 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.130 | $0.36 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.710 | $0.05 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.130 | $0.01 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.948 | $2.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.938 | $2.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.760 | $0.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.810 | $1.33 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.950 | $2.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.140 | $0.15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.190 | $1.01 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.430 | $1.03 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.941 | $2.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.520 | $2.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.640 | $2.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.78 | $0.530 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.660 | $0.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.510 | $0.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |