Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 18.28K | $0.878 | $17.18K | +$1.14K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 236.28K | $0.002 | $472.55 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.03K |
| $0.634 |
| $15.12K |
| +$2.43K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.34K | $0.085 | $7.56K | +$4.12K |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 412.6K | $0.024 | $6.4K | -$3.36K |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | No | 4.54K | $0.891 | $4.31K | +$266.69 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 137.97K | $0.015 | $2.55K | +$521.41 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 4.86K | $0.450 | $2.45K | +$267.36 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.73K | $0.037 | $1.79K | +$629.77 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 4.98K | $0.364 | $1.77K | -$46.99 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.48K | $0.772 | $1.37K | +$225.8 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.36K | $0.133 | $1.26K | +$17.06 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | 1.09K | $0.936 | $1.05K | +$20.37 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.124 | $998.26 | +$770.67 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 114.68K | $0.010 | $974.78 | -$167.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.870 | $875 | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1K | $0.870 | $865 | -$5 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 862.61 | $0.829 | $823.79 | +$108.81 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 852.81 | $0.813 | $810.17 | +$116.74 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.57K | $0.161 | $804.61 | -$91.88 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.349 | $749.66 | +$393.38 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 757.46 | $0.490 | $564.31 | +$192.95 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 669.39 | $0.756 | $558.94 | +$52.9 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.73K | $0.043 | $558.76 | +$178.71 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.207 | $537.61 | +$18.67 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $472.5 | +$2.5 |
| buy |
| 676.28 |
| $0.007 |
| $4.73 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.63K | $0.005 | $43.17 | 21d ago |
 Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.100 | $11 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No | buy | 160 | $0.840 | $134.4 | 26d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 703.27 | $0.224 | $157.53 | 26d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.82K | $0.013 | $114.63 | 26d ago |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.21K | $0.007 | $36.47 | 26d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?No | buy | 225 | $0.999 | $224.78 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 10%?No | buy | 175 | $0.999 | $174.83 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?No | buy | 887 | $0.999 | $885.98 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.999 | $1.2K | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?No | buy | 793.18 | $0.999 | $792.39 | 26d ago |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.11 | $0.897 | $11.76 | 27d ago |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 66.48 | $0.730 | $48.53 | 28d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 11.88 | $0.008 | $0.1 | 28d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.010 | $11.58 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No | buy | 56.01 | $0.920 | $51.53 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.004 | $9.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 7.53K | $0.002 | $15.06 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.570 | $302.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 4.41K | $0.002 | $8.81 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.005 | $12.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 652.96 | $0.017 | $10.92 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.006 | $31.22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 29.79K | $0.052 | $1.55K | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9.62K | $0.201 | $1.93K | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 24.99 | $0.952 | $23.79 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.46K | $0.186 | $1.95K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 176.55 | $0.054 | $9.53 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 612.81 | $0.840 | $514.76 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 1.58K | $0.056 | $88.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.931 | $18.62 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 252.29 | $0.150 | $37.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.204 | $319.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.014 | $18.35 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 508.07 | $0.982 | $498.92 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 71.58 | $0.937 | $67.07 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 390.22 | $0.941 | $367.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.037 | $0.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.24K | $0.139 | $589.58 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.060 | $1.98 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.080 | $8.88 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 29 | $0.972 | $28.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.082 | $1.56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 656.32 | $0.210 | $137.83 | Jul 9, 2026 |