Analytics
Yes is at 4.4%, down 25 points from 29% when the market opened on 23 Dec 2025.
Across the 304 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49% on 8 Aug 2026.
$47.71 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $89.65K since listing. The order book holds $11.17K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.61K bought Yes and $10.98K bought No; the largest was a $1.16K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is neutralwave23 with 2.6K shares; the largest No position is DEGENKHAN with 3.4K. Ten wallets hold 59.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 304 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 29.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN | No | 3.39K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 2.6K |
| ononai | Yes | 1.74K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-endorse-jd-vance-for-president-before-2027
| dwFqcd4Z |
| No |
| 1.65K |
| ChetterHummin | No | 1.36K |
| 42021 | Yes | 1.16K |
| Newshound | Yes | 970.2 |
| MrMarket | No | 862.61 |
| DoomPosting-Enjoyer | Yes | 740.39 |
| Single-Challenge | No | 736.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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