Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:09 AM UTC.
Analytics
Single-Challenge has made $5.72K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:09 AM UTC.
$25.59 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 17 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Sep 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7.2K | $0.934 | $6.59K | -$140 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.520 | $2.6K | 3d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 01:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 03:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 03:09 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 01:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.45K and losing ones cost $4.2K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.13K on “US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $614.69 on “Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 152 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.29K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8.87K |
| $0.546 |
| $4.78K |
| -$66.16 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.800 | $3.39K | +$588 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.35K | $0.873 | $3.1K | +$175.75 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3K | $0.923 | $2.81K | +$35.02 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 3.01K | $0.888 | $2.57K | -$100.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.880 | $2.31K | +$112.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.440 | $2.08K | -$125 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.5K | $0.490 | $1.64K | +$412.5 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.500 | $1.61K | +$362.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.500 | $1.59K | +$337.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.880 | $1.39K | +$67.49 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.430 | $1.33K | +$682.5 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31? | No | 1.24K | $0.902 | $1.12K | +$4.19 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 1.08K | $0.989 | $1.07K | -$0.54 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.813 | $888.65 | -$356.55 |
 Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | No | 884.73 | $0.948 | $877.65 | +$38.91 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 929.58 | $0.729 | $725.08 | +$47.28 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 736.25 | $0.849 | $697.97 | +$72.99 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 999.98 | $0.690 | $604.99 | -$85 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $595 | -$105 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 385.74 | $0.870 | $378.99 | +$43.4 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 365.44 | $0.860 | $352.83 | +$38.72 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.490 | $317.5 | +$72.5 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 281.34 | $0.950 | $275.57 | +$8.3 |
| sell |
| 12.78 |
| $0.620 |
| $7.92 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 223 | $0.620 | $138.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.545 | $1K | 11d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.41K | $0.856 | $2.92K | 11d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 15d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.940 | $4.7K | 16d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.440 | $2.2K | 16d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 413.53 | $0.740 | $306.15 | 19d ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 69.36 | $0.847 | $58.76 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | buy | 385.74 | $0.870 | $335.59 | 20d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.080 | $104 | 20d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.611 | $1.06K | 21d ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes | sell | 77.5 | $0.290 | $22.47 | 21d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 155.26 | $0.720 | $111.79 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.720 | $3.72 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.720 | $1.86 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 25.88 | $0.720 | $18.63 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 10.39 | $0.720 | $7.48 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.720 | $14.82 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 51.77 | $0.720 | $37.27 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 77.65 | $0.720 | $55.91 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.720 | $108 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.720 | $0.26 | 22d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.720 | $0.26 | 22d ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes | sell | 206 | $0.290 | $59.74 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.48 | $0.719 | $8.25 | 22d ago |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | 22d ago |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.979 | $0.55 | 22d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | sell | 0.8 | $0.996 | $0.8 | 22d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 265.66 | $0.611 | $162.32 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.490 | $1.11K | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 104.19 | $0.630 | $65.64 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.989 | $1.07K | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | 28d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.571 | $2.26 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.89 | $0.571 | $2.22 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.571 | $2.26 | 29d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | sell | 75.49 | $0.955 | $72.09 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.700 | $28.7 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Ohio State vs. TexasOhio State | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 512.51 | $0.680 | $348.51 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.700 | $0.44 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.700 | $1.94 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.