Analytics
Yes is at 11%, down 38 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 30 Jun 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 20.5% on 1 Jul 2026.
$2.34K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $579.09, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 35 trades, $73.12 bought Yes and $1.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Contentious-Dinnerdate with 583 shares; the largest No position is Single-Challenge with 1.2K.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Single-Challenge | No | 1.24K |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 582.89 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 314.53 |
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jones-act-domestic-shipping-requirements-removed-by-december-31-20260629145453301
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 300 |
| GTOrski1 | No | 235 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 171.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 101.05 |
| Haradwaith | No | 60.3 |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh | Yes | 22.22 |
| Sandoval1553 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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