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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | No | 800 | $0.975 | $744 | -$36 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?No | buy | 800 | $0.975 | $780 | 3d ago |
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| No |
| 100 |
| $0.950 |
| $88.8 |
| -$6.2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 200 | $0.650 | $74 | -$56 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.885 | $68.4 | -$20.1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.800 | $57.75 | -$22.25 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | No | 20 | $0.875 | $19.9 | +$2.4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19.35 | +$0.95 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 60 | $0.270 | $14.7 | -$1.5 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.250 | $11.4 | -$18.6 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.600 | $11.3 | -$0.7 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.450 | $11.2 | -$6.8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.593 | $10.05 | -$7.75 |
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $9 | -$1 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.864 | $8.87 | +$0.23 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.395 | $7.6 | -$12.15 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $6.9 | -$1.5 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.030 | $6.8 | -$17.2 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 30 | $0.650 | $4.95 | -$14.55 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 200.02 | $0.060 | $3.5 | -$8.5 |
Will Trump Airport become law this year? | Yes | 100 | $0.115 | $3.1 | -$8.4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.430 | $2.6 | -$14.6 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.350 | $2.45 | -$1.05 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | $0.116 | $2.31 | -$0.01 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.011 | $2.1 | +$1 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.010 | $1.69 | -$9.6 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.993 |
| $198.6 |
| 3d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 3d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.999 | $799.2 | 3d ago |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | 7d ago |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.130 | $15.6 | 7d ago |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 7d ago |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.470 | $56.4 | 7d ago |
Remote IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 63.75 | $0.090 | $5.74 | 7d ago |
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 7d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.975 | $195 | 7d ago |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.997 | $39.88 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.927 | $18.53 | 15d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 15d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.036 | $1.22 | 17d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.037 | $2.44 | 17d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 19d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.502 | $28.1 | 19d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | 19d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.540 | $19.44 | 19d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.994 | $795.2 | 20d ago |
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 20d ago |
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | 20d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 22d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.011 | $0.88 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 28d ago |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.150 | $6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 38.87 | $0.100 | $3.89 | Aug 7, 2026 |
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.51 | $0.060 | $1.29 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.041 | $3.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.008 | $3.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.012 | $0.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.997 | $19.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No | sell | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.323 | $7.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.997 | $797.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jul 29, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 10 | $0.632 | $6.32 | Jul 29, 2026 |