Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 32 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 215 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 7 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 15%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22% on 25 Mar 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which bills will become law in 2026?”.
$53.18 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $110.68K since listing. The order book holds $10.52K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SwissMiss with 25.3K shares; the largest No position is banestow with 4.5K. Ten wallets hold 71.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 215 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
2 more markets, none above 4.8%.
| Secret-Bolero-Injury |
| No |
| 3.37K |
| Investman | No | 3.17K |
| littlebird | No | 2.56K |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 1.7K |
| gummy-usb | No | 1.62K |
| lineth | No | 1.56K |
| singularityman | No | 1.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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