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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 20.24K | $0.505 | $16.09K | +$5.86K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 167.52 | $0.465 | $77.94 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 2.65K |
| $0.175 |
| $1.68K |
| +$1.22K |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1.56K | $0.509 | $1.36K | +$562.02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.04K | $0.760 | $1.02K | +$233.33 |
 Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 790.64 | $0.839 | $731.34 | +$67.62 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? | Yes | 769 | $0.840 | $719.02 | +$73.06 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.830 | $539.5 | +$60.59 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 597.31 | $0.726 | $534.59 | +$100.7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 578 | $0.790 | $531.76 | +$75.14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.801 | $527.96 | +$65.72 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | No | 661 | $0.604 | $507.98 | +$108.85 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.800 | $499.11 | +$37.51 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.770 | $493.34 | +$49.1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.820 | $478.91 | +$5.77 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.690 | $418.33 | +$20.2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | Yes | 577 | $0.635 | $415.44 | +$49 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 35% or more? | No | 440.92 | $0.808 | $415.13 | +$58.71 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | No | 913.41 | $0.530 | $397.33 | -$86.54 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 864.68 | $0.615 | $365.76 | -$166.4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? | Yes | 384 | $0.930 | $359.04 | +$1.92 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? | Yes | 384 | $0.840 | $355.2 | +$32.64 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 385 | $0.572 | $271.43 | +$51.04 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 751.08 | $0.360 | $262.88 | -$7.51 |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 311.07 | $0.686 | $256.63 | +$43.12 |
 Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30? | No | 260.16 | $0.720 | $251.05 | +$63.74 |
| sell |
| 727 |
| $0.650 |
| $472.55 |
| 1h ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.249 | $24.89 | 1h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 255 | $0.783 | $199.78 | 11h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | sell | 254.9 | $0.813 | $207.33 | 11h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.110 | $263.22 | 19h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 390.6 | $0.140 | $54.68 | 19h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 263.07 | $0.289 | $76.07 | 9d ago |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.363 | $55.93 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?No | buy | 154 | $0.767 | $118.08 | 10d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 35% or more?No | buy | 440.92 | $0.808 | $356.42 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes | buy | 98.35 | $0.020 | $1.97 | 12d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes | buy | 384 | $0.930 | $357.12 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.254 | $39.14 | 12d ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.256 | $37.1 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.640 | $1.4K | 15d ago |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.989 | $19.76 | 15d ago |
 Will Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 55.03 | $0.994 | $54.71 | 15d ago |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes | sell | 65.76 | $0.999 | $65.69 | 15d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 269 | $0.445 | $119.75 | 15d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 250 | $0.446 | $111.49 | 16d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 248 | $0.100 | $24.8 | 16d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.056 | $2.8 | 16d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 112.42 | $0.596 | $67.02 | 17d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 115 | $0.610 | $70.15 | 18d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 150 | $0.610 | $91.5 | 18d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 330.58 | $0.670 | $221.61 | 18d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 1.62K | $0.560 | $906.36 | 18d ago |
| Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 466 | $0.526 | $245.31 | 18d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 512 | $0.280 | $143.36 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.012 | $17.15 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 764.59 | $0.055 | $41.81 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 461.85 | $0.007 | $3.41 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.038 | $5.84 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.004 | $0.38 | 18d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.004 | $0.58 | 19d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 331 | $0.031 | $10.32 | 28d ago |
| Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 125.84 | $0.020 | $2.55 | 28d ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 158 | $0.500 | $79 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No | buy | 177 | $0.540 | $95.58 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | sell | 385.33 | $0.451 | $173.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 231 | $0.059 | $13.63 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No | buy | 107 | $0.879 | $94.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.005 | $1.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.031 | $3.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.012 | $1.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.020 | $1.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.710 | $1.13K | Aug 4, 2026 |