Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 46 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 215 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 35.9% on 12 Jul 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which bills will become law in 2026?”.
$633.71 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.61K, with a 4.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $5.32 bought Yes and $340.64 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 96 shares; the largest No position is macrosteaks with 103. Ten wallets hold 86.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 215 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | No | 103.19 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 95.64 |
| sweetj | No | 70 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
1 more market, none above 1.4%.
| PPMT |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| Geromi | Yes | 59.99 |
| whispercatalyst | No | 56.16 |
| test.saveliyb.test | No | 29 |
| algo168 | No | 27.5 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 26.94 |
| Spectrum | No | 23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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