Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5.44K | $0.741 | $4.38K | +$349.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 8m ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.44K |
| $0.750 |
| $1.73K |
| -$97.72 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.94K | $0.393 | $1.63K | +$475.69 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 1.7K | $0.807 | $1.36K | -$21.23 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 2.14K | $0.557 | $1.17K | -$24.87 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.737 | $1.14K | -$27.37 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.78K | $0.512 | $989.9 | +$75.69 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1.11K | $0.604 | $966.94 | +$299.94 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 1.71K | $0.501 | $861.8 | +$6.65 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 670.5 | $0.833 | $658.1 | +$99.37 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 935.06 | $0.669 | $640.52 | +$14.52 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 695.63 | $0.765 | $570.41 | +$37.97 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | No | 594.92 | $0.943 | $564.58 | +$3.64 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.503 | $535.01 | +$32.2 |
 Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? | No | 468.33 | $0.837 | $468.09 | +$76.03 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? | No | 480 | $0.929 | $461.76 | +$15.61 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.09K | $0.109 | $444.12 | -$1.9 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | No | 822.62 | $0.578 | $435.99 | -$39.2 |
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | Yes | 589.9 | $0.740 | $430.62 | -$6.08 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | No | 628.4 | $0.573 | $399.03 | +$39.23 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1.12K | $0.324 | $396.16 | +$34.89 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 844.23 | $0.407 | $380.33 | +$36.78 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? | Yes | 530 | $0.678 | $373.65 | +$14.33 |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.149 | $372.05 | +$220.94 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 615.6 | $0.546 | $360.12 | +$23.81 |
| buy |
| 12.99 |
| $0.500 |
| $6.5 |
| 13m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 37 | $0.470 | $17.39 | 13m ago |
 Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.560 | $6.01 | 14m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | 15m ago |
 Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea PellegrinoAndrea Pellegrino | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 16m ago |
| Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea PellegrinoAndrea Pellegrino | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 17m ago |
 Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 8.27 | $0.440 | $3.64 | 18m ago |
| Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.446 | $2.18 | 18m ago |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 19.27 | $0.670 | $12.9 | 20m ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 7 | $0.530 | $3.71 | 29m ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 69 | $0.520 | $35.88 | 29m ago |
| Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea PellegrinoAndrea Pellegrino | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 36m ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 39m ago |
| Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.560 | $4.63 | 42m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 22.69 | $0.480 | $10.89 | 43m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 17 | $0.480 | $8.16 | 43m ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 43m ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.580 | $4.76 | 44m ago |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 48m ago |
 Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 24.71 | $0.440 | $10.87 | 49m ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 13.34 | $0.680 | $9.07 | 49m ago |
| Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.472 | $18.86 | 49m ago |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.630 | $3.52 | 50m ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | 53m ago |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.730 | $4.05 | 53m ago |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?No | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 58m ago |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 58m ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 15.74 | $0.280 | $4.41 | 59m ago |
| Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | 1h ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 100 | $0.334 | $33.44 | 1h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 23.67 | $0.170 | $4.01 | 1h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 11.3 | $0.170 | $1.92 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 1h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 38.72 | $0.170 | $6.57 | 1h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 67.26 | $0.490 | $32.96 | 1h ago |
| Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.480 | $3.97 | 1h ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | 1h ago |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.145 | $2.04 | 1h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | 2h ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.135 | $5.67 | 2h ago |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.482 | $9.64 | 2h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 2h ago |
| Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.740 | $5.16 | 2h ago |
| Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 2h ago |
| Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 2h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.750 | $2.99 | 2h ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2h ago |